Failed Wax Ring
Likelihood: Most common
The wax ring seals the toilet flange to the toilet base. When the toilet rocks or the wax degrades, sewage water can seep out during every flush.
Fix: Pull the toilet and replace the wax ring ($10–15). Ensure the toilet doesn't rock — shim if needed.
Cracked Toilet Base
Likelihood: Less common
A hairline crack at the base can allow water to escape during flushing. Often invisible until you dry the base and watch during a flush.
Fix: Cracks cannot be permanently repaired — the toilet must be replaced.
Condensation
Likelihood: Common in summer
In humid conditions, cold tank water causes condensation that drips down and collects at the base — not a plumbing leak.
Fix: Dry the base thoroughly and check whether water appears during a flush or just accumulates over hours.